Resources and methodology

Everything GospelGraph claims, and how we know it.

Two field reports on what the national data says, one county read neighborhood by neighborhood, and the methodology behind every number in them. Written for pastors and planters, and citable by anyone who wants to check our work.

84,414

Census tracts mapped · 83,344 scored

5

Gospel impact domains

U.S.

Nationwide coverage

The field reports

What we found when we ran the numbers, on the whole country and on one county.

10 reports · free to read

Field Notes No. 1

The desert moved to the growth edge

We went looking for where the gospel is thinnest in America. We did not expect the answer to be the new subdivision.

Where the ground is opening fastest, who is hardening beside a church that is already there, and the household types that only look reached.

Parts
8
Print
15 pp
Basis
ACS 2022

White Paper No. 1

State of the Field

What 83,344 census tracts say about where the church is, where it is not, and which direction the ground is moving.

The full national picture, layer by layer, with the limits of each measure stated on the same page as its findings.

Parts
9
Print
18 pp
Households
125.7M

Field Notes No. 2

The desert is thin

Four neighborhoods with the same gospel-access score and almost nothing else in common. What they share is that there is nowhere in them to run into anybody, and that the one thing each has stopped expecting is a room it can walk into without paying something at the door.

Twenty-seven churches and still a desert, a subdivision with no middle, and a college town with good bones and no congregation — what each already knows about itself, and the walk that tells you which one you are in.

Parts
4
Neighborhoods
4 read in full

Field Notes No. 3

The wrong good news

Three kinds of neighborhood hold half of everyone living in America's deepest gospel deserts. Each one already knows something about itself that nobody says out loud, and each has stopped letting itself want one particular thing. Preach a true gospel to the wrong one of them and it arrives as law.

Why the four-minute gospel presentation labours what these three neighborhoods already know and hurries the one thing they never dared ask for, and what actually counts as good news in each.

Parts
3
Households
207,470

Field Study No. 1

Anne Arundel County Findings

A county that looks fine on paper and isn’t, in fifteen places.

One county read neighborhood by neighborhood: where no congregation meets, where need hides behind comfort, and one move for whoever is best placed to make it.

Neighborhoods
130
People
584,064
Print
76 pp

Field Study No. 2

The frontier the PCA is not on

What the map of a denomination does to its preaching.

Every congregation in one denomination placed on the tract it stands in: the neighborhoods it is missing, the fastest-opening ground in the country it is almost absent from, and the one word that predicts whether it planted there.

Congregations
1,734
Tracts
84,414 read
Print
37 pp

Field Study No. 3

Which churches stand on their own

What a denomination's own polity classes say about the ground it holds.

Assemblies of God polity sorts every congregation by how far it stands on its own. The hardest ground the denomination holds is held by the churches a district is carrying, and in 657 census tracts a self-governing congregation and a dependent one share the same neighborhood.

Congregations
11,008
Not self-governing
4,580
Print
20 pp

Data report

State of the Field: Assemblies of God

Every congregation in the 2024 roster, read against all fourteen GospelGraph layers.

The reference behind Field Study No. 3. Access and three trajectory clocks, Shalom and its pillars, viability and built form, need and the eight alignment domains, all thirty household segments, field signals and instruments, the twenty-four neighborhood patterns, situation tags, and the nearest churchless high-need tract. Every figure, with its base.

Congregations
11,008
Layers
14
Print
38 pp

Data report

State of the Field: Associate Reformed Presbyterian

Every congregation in the roster, read against all fourteen GospelGraph layers.

The smallest roster in the series on the same fourteen layers. The most church-dense ground of any denomination measured, the most exurban, and the one reformed roster with an Arid-tier share at the national rate. Every figure, with its base.

Congregations
256
Layers
14
Print
27 pp

Data report

State of the Field: Orthodox Presbyterian Church

Every congregation in the directory, read against all fourteen GospelGraph layers.

The best-served, lowest-need ground of any roster measured, six household segments with no OPC presence at all, and seventeen presbyteries read side by side, two of which stand on national-average ground while the rest do not. Every figure, with its base.

Congregations
334
Presbyteries
17
Print
24 pp

Essays

Arguments about the ground the data is read on, with the sources shown.

1 essay · free to read

Essay No. 1

Made in the Image of Man

Complexities of AI Morality

Models trained on the outputs of fallen image-bearers mirror that corruption back. Read through Reformed categories, alignment is law applied to an unregenerate nature: it restrains and exposes, and cannot produce what it commands.

Notes
24
Print
15 pp
Field
Reformed anthropology

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